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Colin Lawson explains why he thinks global growth and a rallying stock market is just around the corner

3 July 2012

I am going to stick my neck out and start with a bold statement that, given the current turmoil in world stock markets and the global economy, many readers may find difficult to believe. Some may even mock me! I do promise to respond to all comments though, so feel free to ‘bring it on’...

Giddy heights

Last year, in August, the FTSE 100 index fell sharply over the course of a few weeks to just over 5,000, after having experienced a period of relatively steady growth in the previous 12 months which saw the giddy heights of 6,000 surpassed on more than one occasion. At the same time, the price to earnings (P/E) ratio of the top 100 UK companies fell to ten, compared to a long-term average of 14.

It is my belief that by August 2017, just about four years from now, the FTSE 100 will have reached a level of 8,600. That’s an 11.5...

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